Tropical Storm Octave Off Baja Coast


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Tropical Storm Octave gained power Sunday as it rotated south of Mexico's Baja California peninsula. The storm is expected to fluctuate in strength through to Monday before weakening. No hazards to land are anticipated, according to Miami's National Hurricane Center.

No coastal watches or warnings have been issued though the NHC warns those in the southern portion of Baja to monitor the system. By the time the storm does make landfall, approximately Thursday morning, it is expected to have dissipated to post-tropical strength.

As of about mid-day Sunday, the storm was about 315 miles off the tip of the peninsula and was headed north-northwest running about 13 miles per hour. The NHC placed it well west of Socorro island. Sunday wind speeds reached 65 miles per hour.

Octave and moisture off the Gulf of Mexico is anticipated to scatter Texas with rain and thunderstorms.


In the North Atlantic, the NHC is also monitoring a low pressure area that currently has about a 10 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and the same probability over the next five days. The area is located about 900 miles east of the lesser Antilles and will likely move west-northwest at about 10 miles per hour. The system is dropping rain and thunderstorms, with unfavorable winds.

Based on the NHC naming convention for storms, Octave (as it starts with an "O") is the 15th such storm to have reached Tropical Cyclone status. The previous few storms for the Eastern North Pacific being Narda, Manuel, Lorena and Kiko. The lists are reused every six years, so these names will reappear in 2019, except in cases where the storm is so impactful that using the name again would be, "inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity." The next name on the list is Priscilla.

[Images via National Hurricane Center.]