According to the #1 NFL video game on the market, Ray Lewis, Joe Flacco, and the Baltimore Ravens will be the ones popping the champagne this Sunday.

This year’s Madden Super Bowl prediction sees the Baltimore Ravens edging out the San Francisco 49ers in a very tight game – 27 to 24. According to the simulation, the game comes down to a Justin tucker field goal. In this hypothetical game, Kaepernick mounts a final drive, but is ultimately foiled by an Ed Reed interception.

EA’s Madden has been predicting the outcomes of Super Bowls since 2004. In that time, they are 7 for 9. The only two predictions they got wrong were the Super Bowls won by Wild Card teams (Packers in 2011 and Giants in 2008). Last year, Madden correctly predicted that the Giants would beat the Patriots, though they didn’t get the score quite right (27-24 vs. reality’s 21-17).

And about the MVP? Flacco, all the way:

“Joe Flacco took home MVP honors completing 19 of 27 passes for 260 yards and two touchdowns. Flacco capped off an incredible postseason run that saw him defeat Andrew Luck, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Colin Kaepernick on the way to sending Ray Lewis out of the NFL with style,” says EA Sports.