Cisco Lifts Its Hyperscaler AI Revenue Target to $9 Billion, Three Months After Setting It

Cisco now expects $9 billion in AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers this fiscal year, up from $7.5 billion in August. Orders outside the cloud giants rose 14% in the quarter, with enterprise orders up 15%.
Abstract illustration of glowing fiber-optic network links converging on rows of data center switches in blue light
Cisco Lifts Its Hyperscaler AI Revenue Target to $9 Billion, Three Months After Setting It
At a Glance
  • AI target: $9 billion from hyperscalers in fiscal 2027, up from $7.5 billion
  • Quarter: Revenue up 24% to $18.5 billion
  • Orders: Up 14% excluding hyperscalers; enterprise up 15%
  • Margins: Adjusted gross margin down 250 basis points to 65.6%

Three months after putting a number on its AI sales to the big cloud companies, Cisco raised it by $1.5 billion. The networking company now expects $9 billion in AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers in its 2027 fiscal year, up from the $7.5 billion it projected in August and more than double the roughly $4 billion it booked in fiscal 2026.

The bigger shift is in who else is buying. Product orders rose 21% in the quarter that ended Oct. 24, and orders excluding hyperscalers rose 14%, Chief Executive Chuck Robbins said in prepared remarks for Thursday’s earnings call. Enterprise orders were up 15%, on top of 4% growth a year earlier. Cisco missed the early years of the generative AI boom, and those numbers suggest the spending is now reaching corporate data centers and office networks, its home turf.

Bar chart of Cisco's AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers: about $4 billion in fiscal 2026, a $7.5 billion fiscal 2027 outlook given Aug. 12, and a raised $9 billion fiscal 2027 outlook given Nov. 12

The August forecast had landed badly. Cisco’s shares fell after that report, even though the company had taken $9.3 billion in hyperscaler AI orders during fiscal 2026. The new target brings expected revenue much closer to that order total. Cisco won three new AI design wins in the quarter, two for systems built on its Silicon One P200 chip and one for 1.6-terabit optics, a corner of the market that drew Marvell’s $115 billion all-stock deal for Lumentum earlier this month.

Revenue and adjusted earnings grew at their fastest rates in more than 15 years, Cisco said in its results release. Revenue rose 24% to $18.5 billion, and adjusted earnings rose 40% to $1.40 a share. Analysts polled by LSEG had expected $18.1 billion and $1.33, CNBC reported. Networking product revenue jumped 43%, while security grew 7% and services just 1%.

Cisco now sees fiscal 2027 revenue of $74.8 billion to $75.8 billion, up from the $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion it guided in August. Its adjusted earnings outlook moved to $5.47 to $5.53 a share, from $5.05 to $5.11.

Credit: Chuck Robbins (@ChuckRobbins). View on X.

“We are in the very early stages of a multi-year networking supercycle,” Robbins said in the release. On the call, he pointed to demand beyond the cloud giants. AI infrastructure orders from neocloud, sovereign and enterprise customers accelerated, he said, and orders for Nexus data center switches tagged for AI deployments rose 47%. Campus networking orders grew 14%. Robbins described the AI-driven networking cycle as still early, “with enterprise adoption just beginning.”

The cost of that growth shows up in margins. Adjusted gross margin fell 250 basis points from a year earlier to 65.6%, and product gross margin dropped 350 basis points to 63.7%. Chief Financial Officer Mark Patterson attributed the decline mainly to a heavier mix of hardware and “elevated memory costs,” partly offset by price increases. A global memory-chip shortage has been raising component costs for hardware makers, SiliconANGLE noted.

Patterson said hyperscale AI should make up 12% of Cisco’s total revenue this fiscal year, double its 6% share in fiscal 2026. Headcount has fallen by a low single-digit percentage, and Cisco expects revenue per employee to rise about 19%. The company returned $3.7 billion to shareholders in the quarter through dividends and buybacks.

The next read on enterprise demand comes Feb. 10, when Cisco reports a quarter it has guided to $18 billion to $18.2 billion in revenue, above the $17.88 billion analysts expected in LSEG data cited by CNBC. Security may get attention sooner. Splunk is working with an unnamed hyperscaler on AI agents that help security teams investigate threats, Robbins said, and Cisco plans to share more later this month.

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