The Millionaire’s Gambit: Why a Private Equity Heir Is Bankrolling a Tax on California’s Richest

A private equity heir is bankrolling a 2026 California ballot initiative to tax wealth over $50 million. This deep dive explores the high-stakes battle, pitting progressive millionaires against business groups who warn of capital flight, constitutional hurdles, and a threat to the state's economy.
The Millionaire’s Gambit: Why a Private Equity Heir Is Bankrolling a Tax on California’s Richest
Written by Ava Callegari

In the rarefied world of dynastic wealth, Ian Simmons stands apart. An heir to a private equity fortune, Mr. Simmons is deploying his considerable resources not to shelter his assets, but to tax them. He has committed a seven-figure sum to bankroll a 2026 California ballot initiative aimed at imposing an annual tax on the state’s wealthiest residents, a move that places him in direct opposition to many in his own economic class.

This campaign represents the latest and most direct assault in a multi-year effort to tap the immense fortunes concentrated in the Golden State. Backed by a coalition of labor unions and progressive organizations under the banner “Tax the Rich CA,” the initiative seeks to bypass a legislature that has repeatedly balked at similar proposals. By taking the question directly to voters, Mr. Simmons and his allies are betting that public appetite for taxing the ultra-rich will succeed where political negotiation has failed, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle over California’s economic future and its identity as a haven for the wealthy.

A New Front in a Long-Running Battle

The proposed measure, officially titled the “Tax on Extreme Wealth,” would levy a 1% annual tax on an individual’s worldwide net worth above $50 million, rising to 1.5% for wealth exceeding $1 billion. For a California resident worth $1.1 billion, this would mean an annual tax of $10.75 million. Proponents, including the activist group Patriotic Millionaires of which Mr. Simmons is a prominent member, argue the measure is a necessary corrective to a system they see as fundamentally skewed. “The current tax system is rigged in favor of the wealthy,” Mr. Simmons said in a statement highlighted by Business Insider, arguing that the concentration of wealth poses a direct threat to democratic institutions.

This is not the first attempt to enact such a levy. For years, progressive lawmakers in Sacramento have introduced wealth tax legislation, only to see the efforts stall in committee. Previous bills, such as AB 259, faced significant headwinds from business groups and questions about their legality and practicality. The shift to a voter-led ballot initiative signals a change in strategy, acknowledging the immense difficulty of passing such a measure through traditional legislative channels, even in a state dominated by Democrats. The new campaign aims to begin gathering the nearly 550,000 signatures required to qualify for the 2026 ballot later this year.

Fears of a Billionaire Exodus

The central argument against the tax is the risk of capital flight. Opponents warn that imposing an annual tax on wealth—in addition to California’s already nation-leading 13.3% top income tax rate—would create an insurmountable incentive for the state’s highest-net-worth individuals to relocate. California is home to an estimated 186 billionaires and a vast number of multi-millionaires, who contribute a disproportionately large share of the state’s tax revenue. Critics contend that even a modest exodus of these taxpayers could have a devastating impact on the state’s notoriously volatile budget.

The Tax Foundation, a non-partisan tax policy think tank, has argued that wealth taxes are difficult to administer and easy to avoid. In an analysis of a prior legislative proposal, the organization noted that the wealthy can often move with relative ease to states with no income or wealth tax, such as Nevada or Florida. The foundation warns that a wealth tax could “exacerbate the state’s outmigration problem,” according to a report on its website. This concern is not merely theoretical; high-profile departures of figures like Elon Musk and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison have already fueled a narrative that California’s business climate is becoming increasingly hostile to its top earners.

The Practical and Constitutional Hurdles

Beyond the threat of taxpayer flight, the proposal faces a thicket of practical and legal challenges. One of the most significant is the difficulty of annually valuing illiquid assets. While valuing publicly traded stocks is straightforward, determining the worth of private business holdings, complex trusts, fine art, and real estate on a yearly basis would be an immense administrative undertaking for both taxpayers and the Franchise Tax Board. Disputes over valuations would likely lead to a surge in litigation, creating uncertainty and high compliance costs.

Furthermore, the initiative is expected to face a major legal challenge under California’s own constitution. Opponents are likely to argue that a tax on net worth is effectively a property tax. If a court agrees, the tax would be subject to the strict limitations of Proposition 13, the landmark 1978 initiative that capped property tax rates at 1% of assessed value. Proponents, however, contend that the levy is an excise tax on the privilege of holding immense wealth in California, a legal distinction that could determine its ultimate fate. According to CalMatters, the legislative text of previous bills was carefully crafted to define wealth as a “privilege” to sidestep these constitutional constraints, a strategy the ballot measure is certain to adopt.

A Test Case for a National Debate

The battle in California is being watched closely across the country, as it serves as a real-world laboratory for a policy debate that has largely been confined to the federal level. National figures like Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders have long championed a federal wealth tax, arguing it is essential for addressing soaring economic inequality. Success in the nation’s largest state economy could provide significant momentum for these efforts, proving that such a tax is not only politically palatable but administratively feasible.

The initiative’s supporters are framing the tax as a solution to California’s chronic budget instability and a way to fund critical public services. A report from the Public Policy Institute of California notes the state’s heavy reliance on personal income tax, particularly from top earners, makes its revenue stream highly susceptible to economic downturns and stock market fluctuations. Proponents of the wealth tax argue it would create a more stable, predictable source of revenue to cushion against these swings. The campaign estimates the tax could generate over $20 billion annually, a figure that could help close the state’s projected multi-billion-dollar budget deficit.

An Impending Political Collision

As the campaign prepares to launch its signature-gathering effort, both sides are gearing up for what is expected to be one of the most expensive ballot measure fights in California history. Mr. Simmons’ seven-figure contribution is likely just the opening salvo. Business associations and anti-tax groups are expected to marshal vast resources to defeat the measure, flooding the airwaves with warnings of economic collapse and a mass departure of the state’s most successful residents and job creators.

The outcome will hinge on whether voters are persuaded by the moral and fiscal arguments for wealth redistribution or the economic warnings of its potential consequences. For proponents like Ian Simmons, the fight is about more than state revenue; it is a crusade to rebalance an economic system they believe has become dangerously top-heavy. For opponents, it is a defense against a policy they see as punitive and self-defeating, one that would damage the very engine of prosperity that has long defined the California dream. The collision of these two worldviews will define the state’s political discourse for the next two years and could reshape its economic structure for decades to come.

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