Nvidia Revenue Could Hit $600B by 2030, Valuation $9T

Melius Research predicts Nvidia's annual revenue could hit $600 billion by 2030, driving its market value to $9 trillion amid explosive AI infrastructure demand. Despite competition and geopolitical risks, its GPU dominance and software moat fuel optimism. Analysts see Nvidia leading the AI revolution.
Nvidia Revenue Could Hit $600B by 2030, Valuation $9T
Written by Sara Donnelly

In the high-stakes world of semiconductor giants, Nvidia Corp. has emerged as a colossus, propelled by insatiable demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure. A recent analysis from Melius Research suggests that Nvidia’s annual revenue could soar to $600 billion by 2030, potentially catapulting its market valuation to a staggering $9 trillion. This bold forecast, detailed in a report highlighted by Business Insider, underscores the chipmaker’s pivotal role in powering the AI revolution, where data centers hungry for processing power are driving unprecedented growth.

Analyst Ben Reitzes of Melius Research bases this projection on explosive AI infrastructure spending, estimating that global investments in AI-related hardware could reach trillions in the coming years. Nvidia’s dominance in graphics processing units (GPUs) positions it to capture a lion’s share of this market, with its chips forming the backbone of everything from generative AI models to advanced computing clusters. Yet, this optimism isn’t isolated; it aligns with broader industry trends where AI adoption is accelerating across sectors like healthcare, automotive, and finance.

The Revenue Trajectory and Market Implications

To achieve such revenue heights, Nvidia would need to maintain its blistering growth rate, which has seen quarterly sales in its data center segment explode by multiples in recent years. According to data from Nvidia’s own earnings reports, referenced in analyses by Yahoo Finance, the company’s fiscal 2025 revenue is already on track to exceed $100 billion, fueled by demand for its Hopper and upcoming Blackwell architectures. Reitzes argues that if AI infrastructure demand continues at current paces, Nvidia could command pricing power and market share that justify a forward price-to-earnings multiple in the high teens or low twenties, leading to that $9 trillion valuation.

Skeptics, however, point to potential headwinds, including competition from rivals like AMD and Intel, as well as geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains. Still, Reitzes counters that Nvidia’s software ecosystem, particularly its CUDA platform, creates a formidable moat, making it difficult for competitors to erode its lead. This view echoes sentiments in a Motley Fool piece, which predicts Nvidia could reach $5 trillion by year-end 2025 alone, driven by sustained data center spending.

Comparing Projections Across the Industry

Other forecasts paint a similarly rosy picture, albeit with varying timelines. For instance, a June 2025 report from Business Insider highlighted predictions of Nvidia hitting $6 trillion amid booming AI demand, emphasizing the chipmaker’s reclamation of the world’s most valuable company status. Meanwhile, Motley Fool analysts have speculated on a $6 trillion valuation by 2030, citing potential AI infrastructure investments exceeding $1 trillion over five years.

These projections aren’t without foundation. Nvidia’s market cap has already surpassed $3 trillion in mid-2025, as noted in real-time stock data from Yahoo Finance, reflecting investor confidence in its AI prowess. Yet, achieving $9 trillion would require not just revenue growth but also favorable macroeconomic conditions, including stable interest rates and continued corporate investment in AI technologies.

Potential Risks and Strategic Moves

Industry insiders are watching Nvidia’s strategic pivots closely, such as its expansion into enterprise software and partnerships with cloud giants like Amazon and Microsoft. A Motley Fool analysis from August 2025 even suggests Nvidia could be part of a trio of AI stocks exceeding $10 trillion by 2035, growing at a compounded annual rate of over 8%. This optimism hinges on Nvidia’s ability to innovate amid rising energy costs for data centers and regulatory scrutiny over AI ethics.

On the flip side, emerging threats like China’s DeepSeek AI startup, mentioned in earlier Motley Fool coverage, could disrupt Nvidia’s trajectory, though many analysts believe its established ecosystem will prevail. TipRanks data, as of August 2025, shows a consensus buy rating with price targets implying significant upside, per TipRanks.com.

Long-Term Outlook for Investors

For institutional investors and tech executives, the $9 trillion question revolves around sustainability. Will AI demand persist at hyperbolic levels, or will it plateau as models become more efficient? Reitzes’ model assumes a steady ramp-up, with Nvidia’s revenue potentially hitting $300 billion by 2026 alone, as forecasted in a Yahoo Finance article citing analyst expectations around the Blackwell launch.

Ultimately, Nvidia’s path to $9 trillion by 2030 represents a bet on AI as the defining technology of the decade. As one venture capitalist told me off the record, “Nvidia isn’t just selling chips; it’s selling the future.” While risks abound, the convergence of analyst predictions from sources like Business Insider and Motley Fool suggests that for now, the momentum is undeniably upward, positioning Nvidia as a bellwether for the entire tech sector.

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