Lowe’s Q3 Triumph: Pro Sales and Digital Surge Defy Housing Slump

Lowe's Q3 2025 earnings beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $3.06 and revenue of $20.81 billion, driven by 11.4% online growth and Pro sales strength despite housing headwinds. Shares rose 5%, and full-year sales guidance was raised to $86 billion amid FBM acquisition integration.
Lowe’s Q3 Triumph: Pro Sales and Digital Surge Defy Housing Slump
Written by Mike Johnson

In a resilient performance amid a sluggish housing market, Lowe’s Companies Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings that surpassed Wall Street expectations, propelled by robust growth in online sales and its professional contractor segment. The home-improvement giant posted adjusted earnings per share of $3.06, beating estimates of $2.97, while revenue reached $20.81 billion, aligning closely with forecasts and marking a 3.2% year-over-year increase. Comparable sales edged up 0.4%, a turnaround driven by an 11.4% surge in online growth and strength in Pro services, despite headwinds from DIY weakness and recent hurricanes.

CEO Marvin Ellison highlighted the company’s adaptability, stating in the earnings call, as reported by Benzinga, ‘We’re seeing positive comps despite hurricane headwinds, and November is off to a good start.’ This optimism sent shares climbing about 5% intraday, reflecting investor confidence in Lowe’s strategic pivots, including the recent acquisition of FBM, which is set to bolster its Pro offerings.

Navigating Macro Uncertainties

The quarter’s results come against a backdrop of economic uncertainty, with high interest rates and consumer caution weighing on big-ticket home projects. Yet, Lowe’s managed to expand its adjusted operating margin, crediting disciplined cost management and targeted investments. According to Lowe’s IR via PR Newswire, net earnings totaled $1.6 billion, with diluted EPS at $2.88, down slightly from $2.99 the prior year, but adjusted figures showed a 5.9% EPS growth after excluding $129 million in pre-tax costs related to the FBM acquisition.

Analysts at CNBC noted that rival Home Depot also cited a tough housing market in its recent report, lowering its full-year outlook. Lowe’s, however, narrowed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to approximately $12.25, at the lower end of its prior range, while raising its sales outlook to about $86 billion, incorporating FBM’s contributions. This adjustment reflects ongoing macroeconomic pressures but underscores confidence in growth drivers like Pro and digital channels.

Digital and Pro Momentum

Online sales growth of 11.4% was a standout, fueled by enhanced e-commerce capabilities and services integration. As detailed in AlphaStreet, 10 of Lowe’s 14 product categories posted positive comps, with appliances, flooring, kitchen, and bath leading the charge. Pro sales, targeting professional contractors, continued double-digit growth, offsetting softness in DIY segments where consumers delayed discretionary spending.

Seeking Alpha reported that Lowe’s operates 1,756 stores totaling 195.8 million square feet, and the company returned $673 million to shareholders via dividends in the quarter. CFO Brandon Sink, in comments from the earnings transcript on Investing.com, emphasized a $2.5 billion capital expenditure plan focused on supply chain enhancements and technology, including AI-driven strategies to optimize inventory and customer experiences.

Acquisition Synergies and Challenges

The FBM acquisition, a key strategic move, is already influencing Lowe’s outlook. According to a Seeking Alpha article, Lowe’s outlined an $86 billion sales target for 2025, advancing its Pro strategy through this deal. Integration is on track, with executives noting during the Q3 call, as transcribed by Benzinga, that FBM will enhance Lowe’s position in building materials for pros, potentially adding revenue streams amid a housing market slowdown.

However, challenges persist. Hurricanes impacted sales in affected regions, contributing to DIY weakness. Nasdaq/RTTNews highlighted that while earnings beat estimates, GAAP profit decreased year-over-year, partly due to acquisition-related expenses. Zacks via Yahoo Finance pointed out Lowe’s four straight earnings beats but maintained a Hold rank, citing housing uncertainty.

Market Reaction and Analyst Views

Shares rallied 5% on the news, as covered by TipRanks, with analysts maintaining a Moderate Buy consensus. The stock’s performance contrasts with broader retail sector struggles, underscoring Lowe’s edge in diversified revenue streams. GuruFocus detailed in its earnings highlights that Pro sales achieved double-digit growth, and the company anticipates a 24% effective tax rate for the year.

From posts on X, sentiment echoes this positivity, with users noting Lowe’s outperformance compared to Home Depot and praising the early November comps strength. One post from Ape of Interest shared, ‘Lowe’s put $HD to shame! Comparable sales now expected roughly flat.’

Strategic Investments in Growth

Lowe’s is doubling down on technology and services to sustain momentum. The earnings call, as reported by Yahoo Finance, discussed AI initiatives for personalized recommendations and efficient operations, aligning with a broader industry shift toward digital transformation. Online growth not only boosted comps but also integrated with home services, where demand remained strong.

Comparable sales turned positive for the first time in recent quarters, per AlphaStreet, despite external pressures. Executives expressed cautious optimism for Q4, with November comps starting positively, potentially signaling a holiday season rebound in home improvement spending.

Broader Industry Context

In comparison to peers, Lowe’s results highlight its Pro-focused strategy as a differentiator. While Home Depot lowered guidance amid similar headwinds, Lowe’s upward sales revision suggests FBM’s immediate value. CNBC reported Home Depot’s reference to consumer uncertainty, mirroring Lowe’s outlook but with Lowe’s showing relative strength in key segments.

Looking ahead, Lowe’s $2.5 billion capex underscores commitments to supply chain resilience and store modernization. As noted in Hardware Retailing, the company’s modest net sales and comp growth were driven by online and Pro, positioning it well for a potential housing recovery.

Financial Health and Shareholder Returns

Lowe’s balance sheet remains solid, with adjusted metrics showing resilience. PR Newswire detailed the exclusion of acquisition costs from adjusted figures, providing a clearer view of core operations. The company’s dividend payout and share repurchases continue to attract income-focused investors.

Analysts at TipRanks project moderate growth, with the FBM deal expected to contribute meaningfully. From recent web searches, Seeking Alpha highlighted AI-driven strategies and margin guidance as key to navigating 2025 uncertainties.

Outlook Amid Economic Shifts

With interest rates potentially easing, Lowe’s could see renewed DIY activity. However, executives remain prudent, factoring in macro variables. The narrowed EPS guidance reflects this balance, as per Nasdaq, while the raised sales view incorporates acquisition synergies.

In the earnings transcript on Benzinga, leadership emphasized Pro growth’s role in offsetting DIY softness, a trend likely to persist. As the industry watches for housing market signals, Lowe’s positioning appears robust.

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