Apple’s China iPhone Sales Rebound with AI-Driven Double-Digit Growth

Apple's iPhone sales in China rebounded with double-digit growth in Q3 FY2025, driven by record upgrades to AI-enhanced models like the iPhone 16 and strong Mac demand. This turnaround, amid Huawei competition, boosted overall revenue and investor confidence. The company anticipates sustained growth despite tariffs and economic challenges.
Apple’s China iPhone Sales Rebound with AI-Driven Double-Digit Growth
Written by John Marshall

Apple’s Resurgent Performance in China

Apple Inc. has staged a notable comeback in the Chinese market, with iPhone sales rebounding after a period of decline. During the company’s latest earnings call, CEO Tim Cook confirmed that iPhone revenue in Greater China grew in the double digits for the fiscal third quarter ending June 2025. This marks a significant turnaround from previous quarters where sales had faltered amid intense competition from local giants like Huawei and economic headwinds.

The rebound is attributed to a surge in upgrades, with Cook noting that the number of customers upgrading to new iPhones hit a record high in China. This uptick is particularly evident among urban consumers who are drawn to the latest features in models like the iPhone 16 series, which includes advanced AI capabilities and improved hardware.

Factors Driving the Upgrade Cycle

Analysts point to several factors fueling this upgrade momentum. Government subsidies and promotional campaigns have made premium devices more accessible, encouraging users to trade in older models. According to a report from 9to5Mac, recent market data had already hinted at this trend, with iPhone shipments rising even as the overall smartphone market in China contracted.

Beyond iPhones, Apple’s Mac lineup has also contributed to the recovery. Sales of new Mac computers, bolstered by chips like the M4, have seen strong demand, helping to offset any lingering softness in other categories. Bloomberg reported in its analysis that this combination of iPhone upgrades and Mac sales propelled Apple’s first sales growth in China in two years, as detailed in Bloomberg.

Broader Implications for Apple’s Strategy

This resurgence comes at a critical time for Apple, as it navigates global challenges including potential tariffs and supply chain disruptions. Cook mentioned during the call that the company anticipates a $1.1 billion hit from proposed tariffs this quarter, which could impact profitability. Yet, the strong performance in China provides a buffer, reassuring investors about the company’s resilience in one of its largest markets.

Industry insiders note that Apple’s focus on services and ecosystem integration is paying off. Revenue from services like Apple Music and iCloud grew robustly, complementing hardware sales. CNN Business highlighted in its coverage that this iPhone and China boost was much-needed after a year of struggles, as outlined in CNN Business.

Competitive Pressures and Future Outlook

Despite the positive momentum, competition remains fierce. Huawei’s resurgence with its own high-end smartphones has captured market share, forcing Apple to innovate aggressively. Cook emphasized the role of Apple Intelligence features in driving upgrades, suggesting that AI will be a key differentiator moving forward.

Looking ahead, Apple’s ability to sustain this growth will depend on economic conditions in China and the successful rollout of new products. With the iPhone 16 launch on the horizon, expectations are high for continued upgrade cycles. As reported by 9to5Mac in a prior piece, shipments rose in the second quarter despite a broader market decline, indicating underlying strength.

Investor Sentiment and Market Response

Wall Street has responded positively to these developments, with Apple’s stock rising in after-hours trading following the earnings release. The company’s overall revenue topped estimates, driven by the China rebound and solid iPhone performance globally.

For industry observers, this episode underscores Apple’s adaptability in volatile markets. By leveraging upgrades and expanding its product appeal, the tech giant is positioning itself for sustained growth, even as external pressures mount. This strategic pivot could serve as a model for other multinationals operating in China.

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