Obesity Rates Prediction: U.S. Will Get Even Fatter

    September 18, 2012
    Sean Patterson
    Comments are off for this post.

A report released today predicts that by the year 2030, 13 U.S. states could have obesity rates above 60% and 39 could have rates above 50%.

The report, titled F as in Fat: How Obesity Threatens America’s Future 2012, was released by the Trust for America’s Health (TFAH) and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The TFAH is a non-profit organization dedicated to protecting citizens’ health and preventing disease. The RWJF is a philanthropic organization dedicated to public health.

According to the report, all 50 states could have obesity rates above 44% by 2030. A CDC report released last month indicates that the current fattest state in America, Mississippi, has an obesity rate of 35%. In the report released today, it is predicted that a full two-thirds (66.7%) of Mississippians could be obese by 2030.

“This study shows us two futures for America’s health,” said Dr. Risa Lavizzo-Mourey, RWJF CEO. “At every level of government, we must pursue policies that preserve health, prevent disease and reduce health care costs. Nothing less is acceptable.”

As a consequence of the predicted weight gains, the report also anticipates huge rises in the medical costs associated with obesity. It predicts that in 2030 medical costs due to obesity-related diseases could increase $48 billion to $66 billion per year in the U.S., up from the $147 billion to $210 billion the report estimates it already costs the U.S. today. It also estimates that loss-of-productivity costs due to obesity could rise to $390 billion to $580 billion yearly.

“We know a lot more about how to prevent obesity than we did 10 years ago,” said Jeff Levi, executive director of TFAH. “This report outlines how policies like increasing physical activity time in schools and making fresh fruits and vegetables more affordable can help make healthier choices easier. Small changes can add up to a big difference. Policy changes can help make healthier choices easier for Americans in their daily lives.”

In addition to more physical activity, fruit, and vegetables, the report also recommends that public policy be implemented to curb the rise in obesity. It suggests updating nutrition standards for snack food and beverages in schools and raising school meal standards by implementing the Healthy, Hunger-Free Kids Act . It also recommends investing in evidence-based obesity-prevention programs, making physical activity a priority for Elementary and Secondary education, and implementing other legislation related to nutrition, public health, and marketing food to children.

The report based its projections on a model published in The Lancet in 2011, using data from the CDC. Adults are currently considered obese if their body mass index (BMI) is 30 or higher.

  • Catrese

    Every day I become more and more convinced that the problem is not how much we eat. Human nature predisposes us to seek pleasure and eating is a pleasurable experience. So, why are we so much fatter now than we were 30 years ago if the desire to eat has not changed? It is WHAT we are eating now. We eat so many things that are not even food at all. Processed food is the culprit and unfortunately, it is cheap. So, the poor are fatter than those with money. Guess what, there are a lot of poor people in Mississippi. The only answer is to educate people on what to eat. If we can get people to eat natural food, we can get our country’s weight under control and maybe companies will stop selling the crap that is poisoning us.

  • l

    The First paragraph is poorly written in how it states statistics..
    If 13 states are one way with 39 OTHERS another – that adds up to 52.
    There are not 52 states in the United States.

    “by the year 2030, 13 U.S. states could have obesity rates above 60% and 39 others could have rates above 50%”

    • Sean Patterson

      Good call. I’ve re-worded it to make that more clear. Thanks!

  • http://healthcareinformed.com.au/nursing_homes.html aged care accreditation team

    these days most of the population is suffering from the obesity,and one of the primary disease resulting from the obesity is diabetes. So it has becomes very necessary to increase the public awareness about it by conducting seminars, health awareness programs etc.

  • http://yahoo tim

    When I was growing up with 6 siblings money was always tight. We never did without but we were taught that you “eat to live” you don’t “live to eat” The generation coming up uses food as a means of comfort and because they are bored or had a bad day or a good day, whatever reason will do. I agree that the additives and the type of food is a big part of it but our lifestyles also play a part. Our attitudes toward food has changed from being thankful to have it to I deserve it and we take food for granted. Were the only country in the world where are poorest of poor people are obese. The way were brought up I can say that not one of us are obese or even over weight and one might say thin.

  • michele

    not saying the govt is entirely at fault, but they keep taking PE out of schools. They stuff the school machines and the cafeterias full of junky food….what do they expect? Kids are gonna eat the easy junky food when offered. I think the fatter Americans get, the unhealthier they get, the more health care they need…someone in the end gets fatter and I don’t mean body weight I mean dollar bill wise…think bout it, makes sense!

  • cuerco

    excellenttttttttttt the plan is workiiiiiiiiiiiiiingggggggg :D:D!!