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Pandora Earnings Released, Estimates Missed Despite 99% YoY Revenue Growth

Record 47 million active users

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Pandora Earnings Released, Estimates Missed Despite 99% YoY Revenue Growth
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Pandora just released its earnings report for Q4 and Fiscal Year 2012 (ending in January), missing analysts’ estimates.

Revenue for the year was $274.3 million, up 99% year-over-year. Q4 revenue was $81.3 million, up 71% year-over-year.

Listener hours totaled 8.2 billion for the year, up 109% year-over-year. Listener hours were 2.7 billion for the quarter, up 99% year-over-year.

Active users reached a record 47 million, up 62% year-over-year.

“The fourth quarter was a strong finish to fiscal 2012, which was highlighted by record revenue, radio market share, listening hours and active users,” stated Joe Kennedy, Chairman & CEO of Pandora.  ”Reflecting on our first fiscal year as a public company, we have many accomplishments to be proud of and much to look forward to in the year ahead.  Pandora continues to rapidly disrupt the radio industry and has only just begun to realize the potential of our $37 billion U.S. market opportunity.”

Stock was down -2.37‎ (-16.61%‎) in after hours trading.

Here’s the release:

OAKLAND, Calif., March 6, 2012 /PRNewswire/ — Pandora (NYSE: P), the leading Internet radio service, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2012 ended onJanuary 31, 2012.

(Logo:  http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20110615/SF20192LOGO)

“The fourth quarter was a strong finish to fiscal 2012, which was highlighted by record revenue, radio market share, listening hours and active users,” stated Joe Kennedy, Chairman & CEO of Pandora.  ”Reflecting on our first fiscal year as a public company, we have many accomplishments to be proud of and much to look forward to in the year ahead.  Pandora continues to rapidly disrupt the radio industry and has only just begun to realize the potential of our $37 billion U.S. market opportunity.”

Fiscal 4Q12 and Fiscal Year 2012 Financial Results

Total Revenue: For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012, total revenue was $81.3 million, a 71% year-over-year increase.  Advertising revenue was $72.1 million, a 74% year-over-year increase.  Subscription and other revenue was $9.2 million, a 51% year-over-year increase.  

For the fiscal year 2012, total revenue was $274.3 million, a 99% year-over-year increase.  Total advertising revenue was$240.0 million, a 101% year-over-year increase.  Total subscription and other revenue was $34.3 million, an 87% year-over-year increase.

Net Loss per Share:  For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012, on a GAAP basis, net loss per share was ($0.05). Non-GAAP net loss per share was ($0.03), excluding approximately $3.4 million in stock-based compensation. Both GAAP and non-GAAP calculations are based on 162.3 million weighted average basic shares outstanding and assume minimal tax expense due to our net operating loss position.  

For the fiscal year 2012, on a GAAP basis, net loss attributable to common shareholders per share was ($0.19).  Non-GAAP net loss per common share was ($0.02), excluding approximately $13.7 million in stock-based compensation and warrant remeasurement expenses.  GAAP and non-GAAP calculations are based on 106.0 million and 158.3 million weighted average basic common shares outstanding, respectively, and assume minimal tax expense due to our net operating loss position.  

Cash: The company ended the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 with $90.6 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, compared with $90.8 million at the end of the prior quarter.  For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012, Pandora generated approximately $2.4 million in cash from operating activities, compared to $1.0 million generated in the year-ago quarter.  For the 2012 fiscal year, Pandora generated approximately $5.9 million in cash from operating activities compared to generating $3.2 million in cash from operating activities in fiscal 2011.

Other Business Metrics

Total listener hours: Total listener hours grew 99% to approximately 2.7 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012, compared to approximately 1.3 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011.  

For the fiscal year 2012, total listener hours grew 109% to approximately 8.2 billion, compared to approximately 3.8 billion for the fiscal year 2011.

Guidance

Based on information available as of March 6, 2012, the company is providing financial guidance for the first quarter and fiscal year 2013 as follows:  

1Q13  Guidance:  Revenue is expected to be in the range of $72 million to $75 million.  Non-GAAP net loss per share is expected to be between ($0.18) and ($0.21).  Non-GAAP net loss per share excludes stock-based compensation expense, assumes minimal tax expense given our net operating loss position, and 164 million weighted average shares outstanding for the first quarter fiscal 2013.

Fiscal 2013 Guidance:  Revenue is expected to be in the range of $410 million to $420 million.  Non-GAAP net loss per share is expected to be between ($0.11) and ($0.16).  Non-GAAP net loss per share excludes stock-based compensation expense, assumes minimal tax expense given our net operating loss position, and 166 million weighted average shares outstanding for fiscal 2013.

4Q12 and Fiscal Year 2012 Financial Results Conference Call: Pandora will host a conference call today at 2 p.m. PT/ 5 p.m. ET to discuss the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2012 financial results with the investment community. A live webcast of the event will be available on the Pandora Investor Relations website at http://investor.pandora.com. A live domestic dial-in is available at (877) 355-0067 or internationally at (443) 853-1239. A domestic replay will be available at (855) 859-2056 or internationally at (404) 537-3406, using passcode 35587381, and available via webcast until March 20, 2012.

About Pandora

Pandora gives people music they love anytime, anywhere, through connected devices. (OK, we’ve added comedy as well so we’re also up for playing some jokes you’ll love.) Personalized stations launch instantly with the input of a single “seed” – a favorite artist, song or genre. The Music Genome Project®, a deeply detailed hand-built musical taxonomy, powers the personalization of Pandora® internet radio by using musicological “DNA” and constant listener feedback to craft personalized stations from a growing collection of hundreds of thousands of recordings. Tens of millions of people in the U.S. turn on Pandora to hear music they love.  
www.pandora.com

“Safe harbor” Statement:

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to, statements regarding expected GAAP revenue and non-GAAP EPS. These forward-looking statements are based on Pandora’s current assumptions, expectations and beliefs and involve substantial risks and uncertainties that may cause results, performance or achievement to materially differ from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to: our operation in an emerging market and our relatively new and evolving business model; our ability to increase our listener base and listener hours; our ability to attract and retain advertisers; our ability to generate additional revenue on a cost-effective basis; competitive factors; our ability to continue operating under existing laws and licensing regimes; our ability to establish and maintain relationships with makers of mobile devices, consumer electronic products and automobiles; our ability to manage our growth; our ability to continue to innovate and keep pace with changes in technology and our competitors; risks related to service interruptions or security breaches; and general economic conditions worldwide. Further information on these factors and other risks that may affect our business is included in filings we make with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) from time to time, including our Registration Statement on Form S-1 and our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended October 31, 2011, particularly under the heading “Risk Factors.”

The financial information contained in this press release should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in the company’s most recent reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q, each as they may be amended from time to time.  The company’s results of operations for the fourth quarter and full year ended January 31, 2012 are not necessarily indicative of the company’s operating results for any future periods.

These documents are available online from the SEC or on the SEC Filings section of the Investor Relations section of our website at investor.pandora.com. Information on our website is not part of this release. All forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information currently available to us, and we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

To supplement our condensed consolidated financial statements, which are prepared and presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”), we use the following non-GAAP measures of financial performance: non-GAAP net income (loss) and non-GAAP earnings (loss) per share. The presentation of this additional financial information is not intended to be considered in isolation from, as a substitute for, or superior to, the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with GAAP. These non-GAAP measures have limitations in that they do not reflect all of the amounts associated with our results of operations as determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, these non-GAAP financial measures may be different from the non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies. These non-GAAP measures should only be used to evaluate our results of operations in conjunction with the corresponding GAAP measures. Management compensates for these limitations by reconciling these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures within our earnings press releases.

These non-GAAP financial measures differ from GAAP in that they exclude stock-based compensation, which consists of expenses for stock options and other awards under our equity incentive plans. The non-GAAP net income (loss) and non-GAAP historical earnings (loss) per share measures also exclude the applicable change in fair value of certain warrants issued by us. The change in fair value of certain warrants issued by us is included within other expense, and stock-based compensation is included in the following cost and expense line items of our GAAP presentation:

  • Cost of revenue

 

  • Product development

 

  • Marketing and sales

 

  • General and administrative

 

Although stock-based compensation is an expense for us and is viewed as a form of compensation, management excludes stock-based compensation from our non-GAAP measures for purposes of evaluating our continuing operating performance primarily because it is a non-cash expense not believed by management to be reflective of our core business, ongoing operating results or future outlook. Furthermore, determining the fair value of both stock-based compensation and stock-derived warrants involves a high degree of estimation and judgment such that the expense recorded may bear little resemblance to the actual value realized upon the future exercise or termination of the related stock-based instruments. In addition, the value of stock-based instruments is determined using formulas that incorporate variables, such as market volatility, that are beyond our control. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures serve as useful metrics for our management and investors because they enable a better understanding of the long-term performance of our core business and facilitate comparisons of our operating results over multiple periods and to those of peer companies, and, when taken together with the corresponding GAAP financial measures and our reconciliations, enhance investors’ overall understanding of our current financial performance.

Pandora Earnings Released, Estimates Missed Despite 99% YoY Revenue Growth
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