6.7 Billion Tweets Forecast For January 2011

Pingdom also sets 2 billion tweets as this month's target

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[ Social Media]

Forecasters of all sorts have been working overtime the past week or so, discussing floods in the U.S., Greece’s economy, and elections in the U.K.  Now here’s a little something for the tech community: Pingdom has predicted that Twitter will process 6.7 billion tweets in January.

Pingdom didn’t base this estimate on a different company’s growth pattern or some complicated formula.  It didn’t guess, either.  Instead, a simple observation that there’s been a 16.8 percent, 16.6 percent, 16.9 percent, 15.6 percent, 16.3 percent, and 15.4 percent growth in tweets over the last six months (November to April, respectively) came into play.

A post on the Royal Pingdom blog concluded, "[I]f tweet activity keeps growing by 16% each month, we will have gone from the 1.2 billion tweets of this January to a massive 6.7 billion tweets in January 2011."

Also, "By January 2011, activity on Twitter will be increasing with almost 1 billion tweets per month," and "Twitter looks set to pass 2 billion tweets in May (this month!)."

This growth rate could of course turn out to be bad news if it correlates to an increase in spam or results in the return of the fail whale.  Twitter seems to have had done a good job of correcting its technical problems, though, and of potentially greater importance is the fact that this growth rate would turn advertisers’ heads.

6.7 Billion Tweets Forecast For January 2011
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  • http://lanta-krabi.blogspot.com/ Lanta

    Has anybody worked out how many possible gramatically understandable messages can be had from 140 character (25 words). Twitter is going to start regurgitating the same thing over and over soon.

    • http://www.kiraly.ws Iuliu Kiraly

      That’s funny! Especially since most English speaking people, only speak English! :))

  • http://www.maps4pets.com/default.asp maps4pets

    Great info we have just retweeted. Thanks

  • http://groupemail.gteksoft.com jason

    Growth is vey treamendus.

  • http://www.powderhounds.com Guest

    I can’t for the life on me work out the real benefit of Twitter for a busines. It appears that most people follow as many people / businesses as are being followed by. Multiply this by several tweets for each person following / followed and this is a lot of “noise”.
    If your a business wanting to get your messages heard by the masses, it seems very unlikely to me that this is possible.

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