It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I’m confident we’ll get there.How did we get to the doorstep of the next leap in prosperity? In three words: deep learning worked.In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.
ChatGPT o1-preview has set a new benchmark for AI capabilities in academia. "OpenAI wasn’t exaggerating when they said it’s at a PhD level," he concluded. "This model is capable of reasoning and problem-solving in ways that are almost human—but much faster."
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