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	<title>WebProNews &#187; Internet future</title>
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		<title>Father of the Internet Talks About His Child&#8217;s Future</title>
		<link>http://www.webpronews.com/father-of-the-internet-talks-about-his-childs-future-2008-09</link>
		<comments>http://www.webpronews.com/father-of-the-internet-talks-about-his-childs-future-2008-09#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 16:05:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Crum</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vint Cerf]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.webpronews.com/?p=47119</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.google.com/corporate/execs.html#vint"><img align="right" alt="Vint Cerf" src="http://www.google.com/images/management/vint.jpg" title="Vint Cerf" /></a>Vint Cerf, who is commonly known as the &#34;father of the Internet&#34;, has <a href="http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2008/09/next-internet.html">posted an article on the Official Google Blog</a>, as part of their series of experts predicting the future, such as <a href="http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/2008/09/11/mayer-of-google-talks-future-of-search">Marissa Mayer did for search</a> and <a href="http://www.webpronew]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.google.com/corporate/execs.html#vint"><img align="right" alt="Vint Cerf" src="http://www.google.com/images/management/vint.jpg" title="Vint Cerf" /></a>Vint Cerf, who is commonly known as the &quot;father of the Internet&quot;, has <a href="http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2008/09/next-internet.html">posted an article on the Official Google Blog</a>, as part of their series of experts predicting the future, such as <a href="http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/2008/09/11/mayer-of-google-talks-future-of-search">Marissa Mayer did for search</a> and <a href="http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/2008/09/16/youtube-co-founder-talks-about-the-future-of-online-video">Chad Hurley did for online video</a>. Naturally, Cerf&#8217;s topic is <b>the Internet itself. </b></p>
<p>So where does the father of the Internet see his child progressing over the coming years? Laptops telling you where you left your glasses, and Internet-enabled washing machines. Ok, there&#8217;s a little bit more to it than that. He talks about how mobile will become an increasingly important component of the Internet, and how video will become more interactive with more content and ad control given to the consumer. </p>
<p><b>Uninspired?</b></p>
<p>Cerf&#8217;s post has been met with some criticism. &quot;I hesitate to accuse someone as accomplished as Vint Cerf of lacking imagination, but I found his post uninspiring,&quot; writes The Noisy Channel. &quot;As he should know better than most, mobile devices are already a major component of the Internet. Greater control of video would be nice, but how about greater control of the world&rsquo;s information that Google aspires to organize?&quot; Some have even resorted to name-calling as I noticed that someone has been having fun at his expense via <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vint_Cerf">his Wikipedia page</a> (though it&#8217;s been fixed now).</p>
<p><b>Where It&#8217;s Headed</b></p>
<p>The video scene is already starting to shift, and his predictions in that realm don&#8217;t seem the least bit far-fetched. The part of Cerf&#8217;s post I found most interesting was the washing machine part. He&#8217;s talking about appliances becoming integrated with the Internet, and even laundry soap becoming available via web service. When I think about Internet Juke boxes and Google being <a href="http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/2008/01/07/google-maps-partnes-with-magellan-on-gps">integrated into GPS devices</a>, and <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2007/11/07/google-gas-pumps-the-savior-of-lost-men/">Gas pumps</a>, a futuristic web-driven laundromat doesn&#8217;t really seem that far-fetched either.&nbsp; Cerf says:<br /><i><br />These are but a few examples of the way in which the Internet will continue to surround and serve us in the future. The flexibility we have seen in the Internet is a consequence of one simple observation: the Internet is essentially a software artifact. As we have learned in the past several decades, software is an endless frontier. There is no limit to what can be programmed. If we can imagine it, there&#8217;s a good chance it can be programmed. The Internet of the future will be suffused with software, information, data archives, and populated with devices, appliances, and people who are interacting with and through this rich fabric.</p>
<p>And Google will be there, helping to make sense of it all, helping to organize and make everything accessible and useful.</i></p>
<p><b>Reasonable?</b></p>
<p>Some are looking for more unthought-of ideas I suppose, but Cerf is highlighting where he knows the Internet is capable of going, and I don&#8217;t see any reason to knock him for it. All of this stuff still seems fairly incredible to me when I consider what the Internet was like ten years ago. Look at how far it has come, and look where it is headed. It&#8217;s going to be more integrated with more aspects of daily life, and that is what I believe Cerf is driving at. It&#8217;s also got numerous sci-fi movie plot tendencies written all over it.</p>
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		<title>Pew: The Internet Will Eat You</title>
		<link>http://www.webpronews.com/pew-the-internet-will-eat-you-2006-09</link>
		<comments>http://www.webpronews.com/pew-the-internet-will-eat-you-2006-09#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Sep 2006 16:28:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>WebProNews Staff</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pew Internet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Survey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Matrix has yout]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.webpronews.com/?p=31691</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With bated breath, we waited two full months for Pew Internet's latest insight into the online community. Finally, Pew slapped the Web with a 115-page glimpse into the future confirming what Hollywood's been telling us for the past 20 years: we're all screwed.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With bated breath, we waited two full months for Pew Internet&#8217;s latest insight into the online community. Finally, Pew slapped the Web with a 115-page glimpse into the future confirming what Hollywood&#8217;s been telling us for the past 20 years: we&#8217;re all screwed.</p>
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<td width="122" height="62"><a href="http://www.webproworld.com/viewtopic.php?p=325474#325474"><img src="http://images.ientrymail.com/CommentImage-4.gif" width="130" height="60" border="0"></a></td>
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<p>If you don&#8217;t have time to read through the largely pessimistic (unless you&#8217;re a robot) technorati predictions, then rent or download the Terminator series, iRobot, The Matrix, and Minority Report. Follow that up with a rereading of Orwell&#8217;s 1984.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.pewinternet.org/pdfs/PIP_Future_of_Internet_2006.pdf" class="bluelink">Pew&#8217;s survey</a> of internet leaders, activists, and analysts paints pretty much the same picture of the world in the year 2020: Robots are in charge of the world government once humans are implanted with RFID chips and are bereft of true privacy or independence; There will be &#8220;cyberpsychiatrists&#8221; helping humans cope with their new connected environment; But there will also be small rebel factions that become the new Amish by rejecting these advances, partly by returning to rotary dial telephones and partly by blowing up everything they can get to, disrupting the new &#8220;flattened&#8221; global economy. </p>
<p>But television will be a whole lot better. Thanks <a href="http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/topnews/wpn-60-20060920StevensNetNeutralityPollDownTheTubes.html" class="bluelink">Senator Stevens</a>!</p>
<p>The survey of 742 experts mostly agreed on a short list of possibilities within the next 15 years. A global, low-cost network will be &#8220;thriving&#8221; by then, available to most people around the world. This results in a &#8220;flattening&#8221; of the world, opening up opportunities otherwise unavailable. </p>
<p>But a still small voice in the crowd thinks that&#8217;s way too Pollyanna. The realists say that corporate governance will limit opportunities eventually as a digital divide is much more profitable and businesses will be unwilling to relinquish their inherent advantages. </p>
<p>&#8220;Corporation-based cultural groupings may actually be one of the most destructive forces if not enough cultural, relational and bottom-up social forces are built up,&#8221; said Alejandro Pisanty, vice chairman of the board for ICANN and CIO for the National University of Mexico. &#8220;This does not detract from the prediction that a lot more people than today will have a good life through extensive networked collaboration.&#8221;</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not the corporation you need to worry about &#8211; it&#8217;s the machines. Though most respondents agreed that humans will remain in control of technology until 2020, beyond that it&#8217;s a toss up. As machines become more advanced, more self-aware, more independent, they could move beyond human control. </p>
<p>&#8220;Fear of enslavement by our creations is an old fear, and a literary tritism,&#8221; said Paul Saffo, forecaster and director of The Institute for the Future. &#8220;But I fear something worse and much more likely &#8211; that sometime after 2020 our machines will become intelligent, evolve rapidly, and end up treating us as pets. We can at least take comfort that there is one worse fate &#8211; becoming food &#8211; that mercifully is highly unlikely.&#8221;</p>
<p>Excited yet?</p>
<p>If that&#8217;s not dark enough, these technologies could likely end up in the wrong human hands, bending the will of the masses to their own. This super villain will know what everybody&#8217;s doing at all times. Well, the technological prognosticators actually had &#8220;a widespread expectation&#8221; that people will, voluntarily or not, disclose more about themselves, gaining some benefits, though they lose privacy. The respondents were split as to whether that was a good thing. </p>
<p>There will be a few &#8220;refuseniks&#8221; resisting and trying to muck it up for everyone. Most respondents agreed some will remain unconnected to the network because of economic circumstances or because of fear of technology. The ones who fear it will be the ones trying to blow it up. </p>
<p>&#8220;Random acts of senseless violence and destruction will continue and expand due to a feeling of 21st century <a href="http://www.google.com/search?q=define%3A+anomie&#038;start=0&#038;ie=utf-8&#038;oe=utf-8&#038;client=firefox-a&#038;rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official" class="bluelink">anomie</a>, and an increasing sense of lack of individual control,&#8221; said Martin Kwapinski of FirstGov, the U.S. Government&#8217;s official Web portal.</p>
<p>Continuing the we-are-all-screwed theme, the survey respondents addressed the notion that cyber-addictions would increase as the Web becomes more pervasive and synthetic worlds are created. </p>
<p>&#8220;There is a strong likelihood that virtual reality will become less virtual and more reality for many,&#8221; said Barry Chudakov, principal of The Chudakov Company. &#8220;However, I see this as an addiction phenomenon that will likely inspire us to understand unexplored dimensions of being human.&#8221;</p>
<p>Worse, say some, there will be severe personality disorders emerging from living multiple lives &#8211; one in the physical world, and one (or several) in the virtual world. </p>
<p>&#8220;While area codes might still define geographic locations in 2020, reality codes may define virtual locations. Multiple personalities will become commonplace, and cyberpsychiatry will proliferate,&#8221; said Daniel Wang of Roadmap Associates. </p>
<p>Maybe it will be called <a href="http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&#038;hs=ajw&#038;safe=off&#038;client=firefox-a&#038;rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&#038;sa=X&#038;oi=spell&#038;resnum=0&#038;ct=result&#038;cd=1&#038;q=define:+dissociative+identity+disorder&#038;spell=1" class="bluelink">dissociative</a> user-identity disorder (DUI)? </p>
<p>All these robot-oppressed cyber-Sibyls will most likely be talking to themselves in English, as the language is expected to dominate the global economic landscape. But Mandarin is poised to make a come back as the Chinese Internet proliferates. </p>
<p>To get us there, the forecasters say that future investment priorities lay in networking. About 78 percent of the respondents identified two goals for policy makers and technology companies: building network capacity and educating the global populace about technology. You know, so they know how to fight the robots. </p>
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